Genesco Inc Stock Forecast
Genesco Inc stock price up more than 5.65% on Monday
(Updated on May 06, 2024)
The Genesco Inc stock price gained 5.65% on the last trading day (Monday, 6th May 2024), rising from $24.43 to $25.81. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.13% from a day low at $24.58 to a day high of $25.84. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.46% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 20 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 108 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.79 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $26.81 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -18.78% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $17.12 and $21.78 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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GCO Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, May 03, 2024, and so far it has risen 5.65%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Genesco Inc stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $26.27. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $25.52. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.
A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Friday, May 03, 2024 and based on theory for this formation the price should go up by 8.98% to $28.13 within 33 trading days since signal was issued (Tuesday, May 07, 2024).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Genesco Inc stock
Genesco Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $25.78 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.26 between high and low, or 5.13%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.89%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (GCO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 7th we expect Genesco Inc to open at $25.41, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $24.68 and $26.94, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.13 (+/-4.36%) up or down from last closing price. If Genesco Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.72% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $25.78 (0.12%) than the resistance at $26.26 (1.74%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Genesco Inc stock A Buy?
Genesco Inc holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.021 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Genesco Inc of Tuesday, May 7, 2024
| Fair opening price May 7, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $25.41 ( 1.55%) | $25.81 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for GCO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 26.67 | 3.33 % | |
| R2 | 26.19 | 1.47 % | ||
| R1 | 25.89 | 0.315 % | ||
| Current price: | 25.81 | |||
| Support | S1 | 24.93 | -3.41 % | |
| S2 | 24.63 | -4.57 % | ||
| S3 | 24.15 | -6.43 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 28.14 | 9.03 % | |
| R2 | 26.49 | 2.63 % | ||
| R1 | 26.26 | 1.74 % | ||
| Current price | 25.81 | |||
| Support | S1 | 25.78 | -0.116% | |
| S2 | 25.33 | -1.86% | ||
| S3 | 25.11 | -2.71% |
GCO Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 09, 1973 | Apr 09, 1973 | Apr 09, 1973 | $0.170 | 1.48% |
FAQ
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